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Saturday, June 19, 2021

UK May Halifax house prices +1.3% vs +1.2% m/m expected

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Latest data released by Halifax – 7 June 2021

  • Prior +1.4%
  • House prices +9.5% vs +10.0% y/y expected
  • Prior +8.2%

The UK housing market continues to run hot as demand conditions pick up amid the economic reopening and also as the stamp duty holiday continues to take effect.

The average price of dwellings hit another record high in May, rising to £261,743.

Halifax notes that:

“House prices reached another record high in May, with the average property adding more than £3,000 (+1.3%) to its
value in the last month alone. A year on from the first easing of national lockdown restrictions, and the gradual
reopening of the housing market, annual growth surged to 9.5%, meaning the average UK home has increased in
value by more than £22,000 over the past 12 months.

“Heading into the traditionally busy summer period, market activity continues to be boosted by the government’s
stamp duty holiday, with prospective buyers racing to complete purchases in time to benefit from the maximum tax
break ahead of June’s deadline, after which there will be a phased return to full rates. For some homebuyers,
lockdown restrictions have also resulted in an unexpected build-up of savings, which can now be deployed to fund
bigger deposits for bigger properties, potentially pushing property prices even higher.

“Whilst these effects will be temporary, the current strength in house prices also points to a deeper and long-lasting
change as buyer preferences shift in anticipation of new, post-pandemic lifestyles – as greater demand for larger
properties with more space might warrant an increased willingness to spend a higher proportion of income on
housing.

“These trends, coupled with growing confidence in a more rapid recovery in economic activity if restrictions continue
to be eased, are likely to support house prices for some time to come, particularly given the continued shortage of
properties for sale.”

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