AUD/NZD down to fresh five-week lows on the day
In terms of central bank divergence, the RBNZ rate hike calls and RBA policy stance today makes for a stark difference between the two at the moment.
And that could be enough to take AUD/NZD down back to its June lows near 1.0600.
The pair is already breaking to fresh five-week lows now below the 61.8 retracement level of its recent upside move last month @ 1.0681.
That now puts pressure towards the trendline support @ 1.0641 before the June low @ 1.0600 comes back into play for the pair.
With market expectations for a RBNZ rate hike rising and the RBA not expected to budge until November at the earliest, there is a tailwind for the kiwi to stay more supportive against the aussie (lower AUD/NZD) on this front – at least for now.
The big caveat though will be how the RBNZ actually responds to all of this talk of them potentially raising rates by November this year.